The Concept of Creating and Developing an Integrated Method for Assessing the Risk of Forest Fires on Human Settlements

The purpose of research. The analysis of the fire hazard of forest fires, the analysis of fire safety requirements aimed at limiting the consequences of the spread of fire between forest stands and various buildings, structures showed that to assess the value of the fire-fighting distance, it is necessary to take into account the method of flammability of fire- hazardous irradiated material from the effects of radiating heat flow from a forest fire (riding, grassroots). In order to increase the effectiveness of the use of modern methods for predicting a fire-hazardous situation and to develop basic recommendations for improving the set of measures aimed at preventing forest fires and mitigating their consequences, it is necessary to develop a method and algorithm for its practical implementation.

Methods. To determine the minimum permissible value of the fire-fighting distance from forest stands to various buildings, structures (objects of protection), a method has been developed that allows assessing the threat of the risk of harm to objects of protection during the burning of forest stands (grassroots and riding fires) based on the use of various methods for establishing fire danger from forest fire.Gorenje And for its practical application, an algorithm for estimating the fire-fighting distance from forest stands (riding, grassroots) to various buildings and structures is proposed.

Results. The application of the method and algorithm will allow for modeling scenarios of the occurrence of dangerous natural processes and fire phenomena in forests located near urban settlements and establish a safe distance between them.

Conclusion. The proposed information and analytical assessment of the danger of forest fires is aimed at increasing the level of protection of settlements from forest fires in the exercise of the powers of state authorities of the Russian Federation in the field of forest relations and the powers of supervisory authorities of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia.

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