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Detection and classification of network congestions in multi-machine computing systems

https://doi.org/10.21869/2223-1536-2026-16-2-76-90

Abstract

The purpose of the research is to develop criteria for detecting and classifying overloads occurring in multi-machine computing systems based on network traffic data based on an analysis of its regular trend and subsequent probabilistic interpretation of the overload state.

Methods. The wavelet regression processing of the time series is used as a method for detecting the regular trend of network traffic, which ensures the suppression of high-frequency disturbances and the preservation of the regular component. To identify overload intervals, a Bayesian pulse signal detector is used, which generates a smoothed pulse sequence of a posteriori probabilities of exceeding the normal mode. To quantify each overload episode, a parametric pulse model based on Gaussian approximation is introduced, which makes it possible to associate overload with three measurable characteristics: amplitude, duration, and integral area. Additionally, normalized parameter indicators relative to normal mode statistics and an integral deviation criterion are proposed, which provides an assessment of the severity of the overload condition.

Results. Criteria and rules for classifying overloads into five types are obtained: impulse, background, progressive, periodic and attacking. The results of simulation modeling on data with different load modes showed the efficiency of the proposed approach: overload episodes are consistently highlighted, and the typing corresponds to the expected structure of scenarios. The features of the probabilistic detector’s response to a smoothly increasing load, which can manifest itself as a sequence of local pulses, are revealed.

Conclusion. The developed technique provides a transition from visual interpretation of the Bayesian detector output signal to quantification and typification of congestion and can be used in tasks of automated monitoring of network traffic and support for quality-of-service management solutions in multi-machine computing systems.

About the Authors

Yu. S. Bekhtin
National Research University "Moscow Power Engineering Institute"
Russian Federation

Yuri S. Bekhtin, Dr. Sci. (Engineering), Professor at the Department of Applied Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence

Author ID: 518783

14/1 Krasnokazarmennaya Str., Moscow 111250



K. S. Balanev
Southwest State University
Russian Federation

Kirill S. Balanev, Postgraduate

Author ID: 1204517

50 Let Oktyabrya Str. 94, Kursk 305040



A. V. Titova
Southwest State University
Russian Federation

Anna V. Titova, Cand. Sci. (Engineering), Associate Professor

Author ID: 1169728

50 Let Oktyabrya Str. 94, Kursk 305040



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For citations:


Bekhtin Yu.S., Balanev K.S., Titova A.V. Detection and classification of network congestions in multi-machine computing systems. Proceedings of the Southwest State University. Series: IT Management, Computer Science, Computer Engineering. Medical Equipment Engineering. 2026;16(2):76-90. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21869/2223-1536-2026-16-2-76-90

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