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Application of mathematical models in predicting drug dosage and its efficacy

https://doi.org/10.21869/2223-1536-2024-14-3-36-47

Abstract

The purpose of the research is to form a comprehensive understanding of how mathematical models are used to interpret complex dynamics related to the distribution, metabolism and excretion of drugs in the human body. The use of mathematical models to predict the required dose of drug prescriptions and establish its effectiveness means a paradigm shift in the field of pharmacology.

Methods. The methodology used in this study was aimed at identifying and analytically reviewing articles that correspond to the objectives of the study. The publications included in the analysis were analyzed and data extracted, focusing on key information such as the mathematical modeling methodology used, the exact predicted treatment effects, the populations studied, long-term prognostic effects, and the assessment of the use of various drug dosing regimens.

Results. In total, 12 publications were analyzed, which used four different methodologies: models with the effects of several different conditions, models that take into account the occurrence of various discrete events, models based on the effects of informative signs taking into account the physiology of individuals, as well as survival models and generalized linear models.

Conclusion. The conducted study of the current state of mathematical modeling in medical research for the purpose of comparative effectiveness is intended for practicing scientists and doctors in conducting further research and introducing innovations. Despite the challenges, the potential impact of these models aimed at bridging the gap between the controlled clinical environment and the real health context is undeniable. The use of mathematical modeling methods to predict the dosage of medicines will improve the quality and effectiveness of personalized medical appointments in the coming years.

About the Authors

Shehine Mohamad Tufik
Kursk State Medical University of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation

Shehine Mohamad Tufik, Associate Professor  of the Department of Biological and Chemical Technology

3 Karl Marx Str., Kursk 305041



Tzenios Nikolaos
Charisma University
Turks and Caicos Islands

Nikolaos Tzenios, Professor of Public Health and Medical Research

Grace Bay



K. V. Zavidovskaya
Kursk State Medical University of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation

Ksenia Viktorovna Zavidovskaya, Аssistant  of the Department of Biological and Chemical Technology

3 Karl Marx Str., Kursk 305041



L. P. Lazurina
Kursk State Medical University of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation

Lyudmila Petrovna Lazurina, Doctor of Science  (Biology), Professor, Head of the Department  of Biological and Chemical Technology

3 Karl Marx Str., Kursk 305041



Yu. M. Dotsenko
Kursk State Medical University of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation

Yulia Mikhailovna Dotsenko, Assistant of the Department of Biological and Chemical Technology

3 Karl Marx Str., Kursk 305041



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Review

For citations:


Tufik Sh., Nikolaos T., Zavidovskaya K.V., Lazurina L.P., Dotsenko Yu.M. Application of mathematical models in predicting drug dosage and its efficacy. Proceedings of the Southwest State University. Series: IT Management, Computer Science, Computer Engineering. Medical Equipment Engineering. 2024;14(3):36-47. https://doi.org/10.21869/2223-1536-2024-14-3-36-47

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ISSN 2223-1536 (Print)